On approval of the Comprehensive Action Plan for Countering the Shadow Economy for 2026-2028

Resolution of the Government of the Republic of Kazakhstan dated July 1, 2026 No. 568

 THE Government of the Republic of Kazakhstan DECIDES:

     1. To approve the attached Comprehensive Action Plan for Countering the Shadow Economy for 2026-2028 (hereinafter referred to as the Comprehensive Plan).

     2. To invalidate the Resolution of the Government of the Republic of Kazakhstan dated July 14, 2023 No. 589 "On approval of the Comprehensive Action Plan to Combat the Shadow Economy for 2023-2025 and invalidate certain decisions of the Government of the Republic of Kazakhstan."

     3. Central and local executive bodies, state bodies directly subordinate and accountable to the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan (as agreed), as well as organizations (as agreed) responsible for the implementation of the Comprehensive Plan:

     1) ensure timely implementation of measures and achievement of the indicators stipulated in the Comprehensive Plan;

     2) twice a year, no later than January 15 and July 15, following the reporting half-year, to submit information on the progress of the implementation of the measures of the Comprehensive Plan to the Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Kazakhstan.

     4. The Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Kazakhstan shall submit to the Office of the Government of the Republic of Kazakhstan summary information on the progress of:

     1) implementation of the measures of the Comprehensive Plan no later than March 15 and September 15, following the reporting half-year;

     2) achieving the indicators of the Comprehensive Plan no later than September 30, following the reporting year.

     5. This resolution shall enter into force from the date of its signing.

The Prime Minister of the Republic of Kazakhstan

O. Bektenov

Approved by the Decree of the Government of the Republic of Kazakhstanot " " 2026

     №

Comprehensive plan of measures to counteract the shadow economy for 2026-2028

     Introduction

     In accordance with the Concept of development of small and medium–sized enterprises in the Republic of Kazakhstan until 2030, the level of shadow turnover in the economy as a percentage of gross domestic product (hereinafter referred to as GDP) in 2026 will be no more than 14.5%, in 2027 – no more than 14%, in 2028 – no more than 13.8%.

     Despite the positive dynamics of the decline in the unobserved economy, Kazakhstan remains above the target level of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries, which requires new tools and greater depth of analysis.

     According to the Bureau of National Statistics of the Agency for Strategic Planning and Reforms, the share of the non-observed economy in GDP decreased from 23.69% in 2019 to 16.71% in 2024, which is a decrease of 7 percentage points or almost a third (29.5%) compared to the level of 2019.

     The shadow economy is an immediate threat to the economic security of the state, suppresses the legal development of medium and small businesses, hinders the development of entrepreneurship as a leading institution of the market economy, reduces competition, exacerbates economic problems, deprives the state budget of a significant portion of income.

     The formalization of business and the reduction of the shadow sector will transform the economy of Kazakhstan, making it clean, responsible and fair for all participants.

     In this regard, as part of the Comprehensive Action Plan to Combat the Shadow Economy for 2026-2028 (hereinafter referred to as the Comprehensive Plan), a digital platform will be created that will allow comparing data from tax, customs, labor and industry systems, identifying the most vulnerable links exposed to gray schemes, and tracking their migration between sectors of the economy.

     The draft Comprehensive Plan covers five key sectors (healthcare and social services, trade, education, construction, agriculture), the list of industries is not closed and can be adjusted as new gray niches in the economy are identified.

     Shadow turnover in the manufacturing sector is expected to decrease due to digital traceability in agriculture, the oil and gas industry and construction. The introduction of digital resource allocation systems and integration with customs platforms will ensure end-to-end control of product movement.

     In the field of trade and services, the key results will be the transition to digital market formats (Digital bazaar), the expansion of labeling of goods and automation of control over the turnover of excisable and socially significant products. This will minimize unaccounted-for turnover and counterfeiting.

     In the social sphere (healthcare, education), the introduction of automated systems for service verification, price monitoring, and compliance audit will reduce the risks of fictitious transactions and misuse of budget funds.

     Additionally, corruption risks are expected to be reduced by minimizing the human factor and automating procedures.

     The events were selected according to the current principles of the OECD:

     near-real-time data;

     earlier identification of risks, without bringing it to the post-factum;

     voluntary legalization, not pressure on business;

     management based on measurable results.

     At the same time, at the stage of forming a Comprehensive Plan, measures providing for the introduction of new obligations for businesses or stricter regulation are excluded.

     Increasing turnover transparency will create a more predictable and competitive economic environment.

     In an integrated plan, digitalization will become the basic basis for countering the shadow economy, while artificial intelligence tools will be used to monitor the implementation of a Comprehensive Plan and assess the achievability of targets.

     Passport

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Перечень показателей противодействия ненаблюдаемой (теневой) экономикес закреплением за оцениваемыми государственными органами до 2028 года

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